DavidGordonsFoot {l Wrote}:I've never had as much trouble settling on a Derby pick as I've had this year. Hoppertunity was my pick until he scratched Thursday.
Gun to my head, I'd pick California Chrome, but the risk/reward is not there at 5:2. I'm playing a 6 horse exacta box. If CC wins with one of my other 5 placing, I think I will still break even. Hopefully, my longer prices come in and I make money.
Danza
CC
Wildcat Red
Intense Holiday
Candy Boy
Wicked Strong
The odds for CC were not there.
If i'm betting horses, I always go longshots that still could realistically win.
I almost put money on WickedStrong (9-1?) but this guy that knows horses better than I ever could said that CC was going to be almost unbeatable at the derby.
He was predicting a 5 length victory so I stayed away for the reasons you mentioned.